Free NFL Picks for Week 14

By Todd L. Frank  |   Thursday, December 10, 2009  |  Comments( 0 )

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It’s time to give you some free NFL picks against the spread for Week 14. Not every game is listed, just what I think are some of the best bets. These free picks are against the most current point spreads as of Thursday evening.

You’d think by this point in the season we would know some things. But Oakland has beaten Philly, Cincy, and Pittsburgh. Washington is actually VERY close to having consecutive wins over Denver, Dallas, Philly, and New Orleans. Jacksonville is prime position for an AFC wildcard and the Patriots look kinda crappy. I’ll try to sort it out with this week’s free picks and best bets against the point spread.

New Orleans -10.5 at Atlanta
I know the Saints are due to lose and have had trouble lately covering big point spreads. They actually should have lost to Washington last week. But the Falcons stink without QB Matt Ryan. Even a lackluster showing by New Orleans should cover the 10.5. Lay the points on the road.

UNDER 43.5, Cincinnati at Minnesota
The Vikings were riding high for awhile but this should be a battle. Both teams are certainly capable of scoring in bunches, but I think this week both will rely on heavy doses of the run game and defense. Smells like 20-14 or 21-17. Take the under.

Green Bay -3 at Chicago
The Packers looked really good Monday night, and I don’t think the short week and playing on the road will matter much. The Bears just aren’t good and Green Bay is playing really well right now.

Seattle +6.5 at Houston
This is a big who-cares game. The Seahawks haven’t been good and they generally stink on the road. But the Texans really haven’t done much this year to deserve being favored by 6.5 over anyone. Line just seems too high. Take the points.

UNDER 44, Miami at Jacksonville
Two defensive-minded coaches battling for a wildcard positioning and relying on strong running games. This one should be tight, and that total seems a bit high. I feel a weird score 19-14 or 21-16 game coming one. Even 23-20 wouldn’t go over. Take the under.

The Teaser
The Chargers are cruising and the Cowboys have to be getting that “December Swoon” pressure in their heads. Dallas does play well at home, and San Diego did give up some points to Cleveland. So tease the Chargers up to +9 and the Over down to 42.5. Play a Chargers-Over teaser.

Last week: 2-6
Season: 55-42-2
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